MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
41.7%
58.3%
+156
-166
+155
-165
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
3
-0.48608-0.48848-0.53933
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
28.6%
71.4%
+264
-295
+263
-275
+1½+132
-1½-148
+1½+135
-1½-145
2
5
-0.31325-0.31893-0.33677
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
35.9%
64.1%
+227
-248
+230
-255
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-125
1
7
-0.35706-0.35197-0.44434
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
54.1%
45.9%
-125
+119
-124
+117
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+136
+1½-150
3
5
-0.79600-0.78902-0.77914
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
46.8%
53.2%
+124
-130
+120
-125
+1½-180
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+167
11
0
-0.81805-0.79851-0.76027
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
53.5%
46.5%
-140
+134
-141
+138
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
8
2
-0.54962-0.54125-0.62510
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
63.3%
36.7%
-120
+111
-122
+114
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
5
-0.76589-0.77751-1.00117
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
43.8%
56.2%
+148
-158
+145
-150
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+130
8
7
-0.92377-0.90421-0.82462
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
50.6%
49.4%
-122
+114
-120
+116
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
1
4
-0.77751-0.77849-0.70603
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
37.7%
62.3%
+179
-194
+181
-194
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+110
0
4
-0.43385-0.43134-0.47337
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
60.7%
39.3%
-125
+116
-121
+116
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
5
3
-0.60613-0.61278-0.49891
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
39.0%
61.0%
+181
-194
+193
-197
+1½-121
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+112
6
3
-1.04879-1.07957-0.94284
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
46.2%
53.8%
+105
-113
+104
-110
+1½-205
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+190
1
5
-0.65204-0.66054-0.61958
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
61.4%
38.6%
-144
+134
-140
+135
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
6
2
-0.54473-0.54782-0.48750
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
53.6%
46.4%
-126
+120
-127
+120
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
6
1
-0.59626-0.59470-0.62310
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
46.6%
53.4%
+153
-161
+155
-157
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
6
-0.49517-0.49589-0.62813
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.