MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
41.4%
58.6%
+123
-132
+124
-130
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
4
8
-0.58118-0.58212-0.53372
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
64.4%
35.6%
-202
+190
-208
+193
-1½-133
+1½+117
-1½-130
+1½+125
2
8
-1.07831-1.09148-1.03358
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.5%
61.5%
+205
-223
+205
-215
+1½-103
-1½-112
+1½+105
-1½-110
7
4
-1.13323-1.12550-0.95480
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
42.8%
57.2%
+171
-183
+168
-176
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
10
-0.45149-0.46067-0.55867
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
52.0%
48.0%
-128
+119
-126
+121
-1½+133
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-150
6
5
-0.59519-0.59423-0.65437
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
42.4%
57.6%
+165
-175
+162
-168
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+120
0
1
-0.46561-0.47552-0.55180
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
44.9%
55.1%
-120
+115
-118
+112
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
2
-0.61667-0.62672-0.80091
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
36.8%
63.2%
+206
-222
+205
-221
+1½-102
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-107
5
0
-1.13451-1.13134-1.00084
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
55.9%
44.1%
-122
+114
-125
+120
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-132
8
4
-0.61535-0.59784-0.58098
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
34.3%
65.7%
+228
-253
+225
-251
+1½+117
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
6
0
-1.20919-1.20121-1.07049
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
50.2%
49.8%
-104
-104
-102
-105
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-216
-1½+195
3
4
-0.69315-0.68605-0.69671
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-138
+130
-135
+129
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
6
4
-0.55953-0.56539-0.58336
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
41.5%
58.5%
+147
-157
+153
-152
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
5
-0.50846-0.50398-0.53678
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
60.3%
39.7%
-163
+153
-160
+152
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
7
3
-0.49333-0.49765-0.50634
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.8%
58.2%
+143
-153
+145
-150
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+121
4
9
-0.51909-0.51896-0.54146
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.4%
52.6%
+152
-159
+151
-159
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
5
-0.49860-0.50017-0.64226
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.