MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
58.9%
41.1%
-181
+168
-181
+172
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
9
1
-0.45697-0.45157-0.52935
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
47.0%
53.0%
+101
-108
+102
-105
+1½-207
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+193
3
5
-0.67201-0.67627-0.63550
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
49.2%
50.8%
+106
-115
+107
-113
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
0
10
-0.64582-0.64741-0.67660
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
39.8%
60.2%
+165
-176
+166
-180
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+117
0
2
-0.46485-0.46045-0.50760
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
51.3%
48.7%
-119
+110
-116
+109
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+144
+1½-155
6
3
-0.62933-0.63707-0.66732
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
47.7%
52.3%
+123
-131
+122
-132
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-178
-1½+160
5
1
-0.81742-0.81674-0.73948
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
52.7%
47.3%
-117
+110
-120
+112
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+144
+1½-155
2
1
-0.63297-0.62315-0.64038
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
48.7%
51.3%
+113
-121
+115
-117
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
2
-0.77297-0.76975-0.72005
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
34.9%
65.1%
+250
-281
+261
-290
+1½+125
-1½-138
+1½+125
-1½-135
7
1
-1.27576-1.30409-1.05205
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
46.2%
53.8%
+103
-109
+105
-114
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+160
2
5
-0.66503-0.65009-0.62051
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
38.8%
61.2%
+170
-180
+163
-174
+1½-122
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
5
0
-1.00641-0.98214-0.94577
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
33.4%
66.6%
+216
-240
+216
-240
+1½+100
-1½-112
+1½+100
-1½-108
1
7
-0.37040-0.37040-0.40669
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
48.0%
52.0%
+114
-123
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-200
-1½+180
8
4
-0.77949-0.76841-0.73341
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.4%
36.6%
-202
+185
-198
+185
-1½-126
+1½+120
-1½-123
+1½+110
4
3
-0.42172-0.42402-0.45509
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
43.0%
57.0%
+201
-222
+200
-210
+1½+102
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-110
1
12
-0.39331-0.40015-0.56147
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
50.2%
49.8%
+122
-130
+123
-131
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
2
-0.58609-0.58263-0.69734
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.