MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.8%
37.2%
-188
+174
-188
+176
-1½-114
+1½+102
-1½-110
+1½+100
8
6
-0.44410-0.44150-0.46502
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
38.7%
61.3%
+154
-164
+152
-162
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
2
-0.49089-0.49579-0.48875
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
47.1%
52.9%
+126
-135
+128
-132
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
0
13
-0.57111-0.57146-0.63749
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
55.7%
44.3%
-160
+150
-160
+155
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-120
4
0
-0.50078-0.49303-0.58454
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
38.0%
62.0%
+188
-205
+185
-200
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
4
8
-0.41647-0.42286-0.47728
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
23.6%
76.4%
+324
-366
+335
-370
+1½+150
-1½-163
+1½+155
-1½-164
7
1
-1.46560-1.48713-1.44477
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
36.9%
63.1%
+196
-212
+201
-210
+1½-108
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-105
1
8
-0.40359-0.39906-0.46072
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.7%
38.3%
-161
+152
-158
+150
-1½+102
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-118
4
1
-0.49671-0.50269-0.48342
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
51.5%
48.5%
+117
-125
+119
-128
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
2
-0.60404-0.59519-0.72449
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
47.5%
52.5%
+109
-115
+107
-115
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
12
2
-0.75042-0.74537-0.74530
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
46.5%
53.5%
+143
-152
+145
-153
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
5
-0.52014-0.51577-0.62487
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
52.6%
47.4%
-119
+110
-115
+115
-1½+137
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
5
-0.76132-0.76546-0.74710
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
51.0%
49.0%
+105
-112
+107
-110
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
1
13
-0.65406-0.65350-0.71355
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
45.7%
54.3%
+146
-156
+155
-154
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+135
7
1
-0.91592-0.93456-0.78327
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.9%
45.1%
-109
+102
-107
+100
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-154
1
2
-0.71953-0.70991-0.79724
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
58.0%
42.0%
-128
+119
-130
+123
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
2
-0.59519-0.58410-0.54516
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.