MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
39.0%
61.0%
+219
-242
+227
-238
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-110
0
8
-0.36674-0.36068-0.49439
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
56.4%
43.6%
-133
+125
-130
+123
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
4
-0.82608-0.81556-0.82977
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
44.5%
55.5%
+164
-176
+165
-179
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+129
1
8
-0.46625-0.46259-0.58825
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
46.6%
53.4%
+116
-124
+120
-124
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
0
9
-0.60776-0.59946-0.62644
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
39.2%
60.8%
+171
-185
+172
-180
+1½-114
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
1
9
-0.45009-0.45229-0.49679
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
55.1%
44.9%
-129
+120
-126
+122
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-145
6
1
-0.59162-0.59220-0.59568
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
51.5%
48.5%
-101
-107
-102
-105
+1½-205
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+185
4
5
-0.67911-0.68605-0.72441
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
36.9%
63.1%
+230
-253
+233
-251
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+120
-1½-123
3
7
-0.35263-0.35062-0.46083
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
42.1%
57.9%
+147
-157
+151
-158
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
5
-0.50846-0.50112-0.54618
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
47.9%
52.1%
+114
-121
+112
-118
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-176
-1½+170
2
3
-0.61706-0.62672-0.65243
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
66.6%
33.4%
-217
+201
-225
+205
-1½-138
+1½+122
-1½-135
+1½+121
4
0
-0.39564-0.38769-0.40596
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.6%
43.4%
-131
+123
-133
+127
-1½+137
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-144
0
5
-0.81742-0.83105-0.83374
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
31.5%
68.5%
+339
-383
+330
-365
+1½+162
-1½-178
+1½+165
-1½-175
0
3
-0.25252-0.25950-0.37784
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
45.5%
54.5%
+151
-161
+155
-165
+1½-132
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
8
9
-0.49827-0.48848-0.60636
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
38.9%
61.1%
+166
-177
+163
-174
+1½-133
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+124
3
0
-0.99314-0.98214-0.94477
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
57.1%
42.9%
-135
+126
-130
+130
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
5
-0.83218-0.83292-0.84611
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.