MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
52.0%
48.0%
-123
+115
-120
+120
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
3
5
-0.78202-0.78845-0.73432
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
37.4%
62.6%
+205
-223
+213
-220
+1½-108
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-107
3
5
-0.38859-0.38166-0.46866
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
61.9%
38.1%
-176
+167
-176
+165
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+110
1
7
-0.99423-0.98948-0.96553
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
56.3%
43.7%
-146
+137
-141
+142
-1½+103
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-120
3
2
-0.53703-0.53432-0.57403
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
36.8%
63.2%
+235
-257
+240
-265
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-120
3
4
-0.34689-0.34011-0.45940
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
49.8%
50.2%
-110
+102
-110
+104
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-165
5
3
-0.66532-0.66054-0.69776
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
37.2%
62.8%
+224
-245
+225
-240
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+115
-1½-124
5
7
-0.36090-0.36179-0.46601
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
35.6%
64.4%
+279
-315
+285
-305
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-143
3
1
-1.35499-1.36082-1.03274
Cleveland Guardians
San Diego Padres
41.9%
58.1%
+151
-161
+148
-155
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-151
-1½+140
7
0
-0.93542-0.91925-0.86905
Miami Marlins
Oakland Athletics
49.9%
50.1%
-122
+113
-117
+111
-1½+152
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-163
2
3
-0.77499-0.75971-0.69141
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
55.7%
44.3%
-128
+119
-125
+120
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
16
4
-0.59519-0.59784-0.58598
San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers
58.1%
41.9%
-145
+138
-141
+138
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+108
+1½-120
1
6
-0.87904-0.87232-0.86955
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
67.8%
32.2%
-269
+241
-262
+240
-1½-168
+1½+152
-1½-160
+1½+150
14
2
-0.33809-0.34101-0.38876
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
35.7%
64.3%
+245
-272
+240
-265
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
2
4
-0.33392-0.34011-0.44187
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.0%
61.0%
+139
-148
+140
-145
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+150
1
10
-0.53128-0.53299-0.49402
Miami Marlins
Oakland Athletics
55.9%
44.1%
-143
+134
-144
+135
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
5
3
-0.54592-0.54294-0.58216
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.