MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
51.2%
48.8%
+108
-115
+109
-108
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
5
-0.64124-0.65310-0.71781
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
43.2%
56.8%
+119
-127
+115
-125
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
1
-0.79986-0.78592-0.83919
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
39.0%
61.0%
+205
-225
+213
-215
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-103
4
5
-0.38769-0.38396-0.49425
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
38.0%
62.0%
+175
-188
+175
-185
+1½-121
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
9
-0.44281-0.44482-0.47739
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
46.7%
53.3%
+150
-157
+150
-156
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-143
-1½+130
0
5
-0.50367-0.50464-0.62937
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
37.9%
62.1%
+192
-208
+185
-200
+1½-113
-1½-101
+1½-110
-1½+100
4
3
-1.08922-1.06470-0.97040
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
36.8%
63.2%
+188
-201
+190
-208
+1½-113
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+100
4
2
-1.07268-1.08465-0.99910
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.7%
41.3%
-133
+126
-132
+126
-1½+123
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-138
5
3
-0.57389-0.57531-0.53312
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
38.8%
61.2%
+147
-155
+144
-150
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+146
3
1
-0.91684-0.90177-0.94698
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
56.6%
43.4%
-153
+143
-150
+144
-1½+102
+1½-118
-1½+104
+1½-115
7
5
-0.51909-0.52062-0.56982
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
57.9%
42.1%
-142
+134
-142
+135
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
3
4
-0.86417-0.86664-0.86622
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
57.8%
42.2%
-163
+153
-160
+152
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½+100
11
4
-0.49333-0.49765-0.54737
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
45.0%
55.0%
+169
-181
+177
-181
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+115
1
6
-0.45561-0.44498-0.59715
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
-105
-102
-105
+102
+1½-218
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+200
6
2
-0.68605-0.67627-0.68300
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
54.3%
45.7%
-122
+113
-119
+117
-1½+133
+1½-148
-1½+136
+1½-150
2
4
-0.77499-0.77892-0.78263
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
56.0%
44.0%
-163
+153
-161
+160
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½+101
+1½+100
4
0
-0.49333-0.48459-0.58028
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.