MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
42.3%
57.7%
+147
-154
+150
-154
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-148
-1½+130
1
2
-0.51148-0.50667-0.54924
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
37.8%
62.2%
+170
-183
+172
-177
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+113
2
4
-0.45284-0.45448-0.47443
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
43.3%
56.7%
+147
-152
+148
-150
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-144
-1½+130
1
13
-0.51355-0.51405-0.56754
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
40.0%
60.0%
+143
-151
+146
-152
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+126
7
3
-0.90093-0.90979-0.91709
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
38.6%
61.4%
+212
-224
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-112
4
0
-1.14964-1.14633-0.95176
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-135
+127
-133
+127
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
4
5
-0.83466-0.83105-0.69794
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
36.1%
63.9%
+187
-203
+178
-194
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
7
5
-1.07256-1.04183-1.01885
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
57.7%
42.3%
-174
+161
-170
+168
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+105
4
3
-0.47209-0.46537-0.54943
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
53.3%
46.7%
-139
+130
-135
+130
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-144
0
3
-0.84915-0.84211-0.76038
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
39.5%
60.5%
+196
-213
+205
-212
+1½-110
-1½-102
+1½+100
-1½-104
1
4
-0.40309-0.39374-0.50266
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
54.7%
45.3%
-122
+115
-123
+118
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-140
0
3
-0.78001-0.78955-0.79160
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
53.1%
46.9%
-131
+124
-130
+130
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
4
-0.81991-0.83292-0.75632
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
39.7%
60.3%
+233
-254
+245
-250
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-117
7
8
-0.34963-0.34060-0.50652
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
47.7%
52.3%
+111
-119
+112
-117
+1½-158
-1½+143
+1½-159
-1½+145
7
4
-0.76385-0.76222-0.74068
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
52.1%
47.9%
-118
+109
-117
+110
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-159
3
5
-0.75673-0.75717-0.73580
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
41.1%
58.9%
+135
-145
+132
-140
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
6
-0.54173-0.55326-0.53008
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.