MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.7%
37.3%
-215
+202
-215
+210
-1½-153
+1½+137
-1½-140
+1½+140
0
4
-1.11884-1.13650-0.98746
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
39.5%
60.5%
+180
-195
+185
-199
+1½-122
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+105
3
5
-0.43197-0.42344-0.50273
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
34.9%
65.1%
+242
-270
+230
-256
+1½+117
-1½-133
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
6
-0.33697-0.35164-0.42941
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
43.5%
56.5%
+156
-165
+154
-163
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+132
1
4
-0.48696-0.49179-0.57155
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
54.1%
45.9%
-141
+134
-142
+142
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-124
5
8
-0.86249-0.88378-0.77825
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
56.0%
44.0%
-116
+110
-112
+108
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+146
+1½-155
3
1
-0.63482-0.64712-0.57998
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+122
-130
+121
-130
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
0
6
-0.58609-0.58810-0.61350
Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays
42.6%
57.4%
+136
-146
+139
-145
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+155
7
2
-0.87575-0.88150-0.85254
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
59.9%
40.1%
-258
+235
-260
+248
-1½-165
+1½+157
-1½-175
+1½+168
6
0
-0.34657-0.33496-0.51263
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
48.6%
51.4%
-108
+102
-110
+100
-1½+152
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-164
3
5
-0.71728-0.71668-0.66507
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
34.8%
65.2%
+221
-241
+215
-235
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-117
0
2
-0.36520-0.37333-0.42822
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
55.3%
44.7%
-142
+136
-144
+135
-1½+102
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
6
0
-0.54356-0.54294-0.59298
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
51.6%
48.4%
+106
-110
+106
-114
+1½-198
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
4
7
-0.65583-0.64777-0.72532
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
55.7%
44.3%
-138
+131
-137
+135
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-126
3
2
-0.55767-0.55166-0.58584
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
52.2%
47.8%
-139
+133
-140
+135
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
2
-0.55271-0.54782-0.65020
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.6%
37.4%
-290
+258
-290
+281
-1½-180
+1½+170
-1½-175
+1½+175
13
3
-0.31893-0.30231-0.46820
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.