MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
37.5%
62.5%
+164
-172
+170
-179
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+116
4
6
-0.46940-0.45571-0.47079
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
32.3%
67.7%
+241
-268
+250
-265
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-130
0
8
-0.33839-0.33183-0.38936
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
55.0%
45.0%
-171
+161
-174
+165
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½-105
6
2
-0.47449-0.46639-0.59807
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
39.8%
60.2%
+210
-233
+211
-220
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+102
0
1
-0.37914-0.38369-0.50785
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
64.9%
35.1%
-320
+285
-330
+292
-1½-193
+1½+175
-1½-190
+1½+190
3
4
-1.36948-1.38838-1.04800
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
48.7%
51.3%
+110
-118
+116
-118
+1½-183
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
2
-0.75927-0.77434-0.72050
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
37.8%
62.2%
+183
-196
+181
-190
+1½-125
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
8
-0.42765-0.43383-0.47531
Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays
48.8%
51.2%
+105
-113
+111
-115
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+175
1
2
-0.65204-0.63448-0.67009
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
57.0%
43.0%
-134
+125
-130
+128
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-143
5
2
-0.57442-0.57435-0.56238
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
30.5%
69.5%
+245
-260
+245
-260
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+125
-1½-125
3
5
-0.33743-0.33743-0.36413
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
51.2%
48.8%
-130
+123
-131
+125
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
4
0
-0.58410-0.57869-0.66869
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
48.6%
51.4%
+114
-122
+112
-121
+1½-158
-1½+143
+1½-159
-1½+145
3
5
-0.61535-0.62140-0.66578
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
50.4%
49.6%
+153
-160
+153
-157
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+131
1
3
-0.49610-0.49896-0.70041
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
69.7%
30.3%
-235
+223
-245
+227
-1½-150
+1½+145
-1½-145
+1½+145
8
3
-0.36557-0.35812-0.36084
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
30.8%
69.2%
+292
-320
+285
-316
+1½+152
-1½-165
+1½+150
-1½-160
5
7
-0.28880-0.29412-0.36755
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
59.6%
40.4%
-135
+130
-131
+131
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+117
+1½-125
6
2
-0.56352-0.56722-0.51676
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.