MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
41.9%
58.1%
+154
-145
+155
-164
+1½-138
-1½+140
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
6
-0.50996-0.48937-0.54300
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
38.8%
61.2%
+198
-218
+195
-213
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-109
-1½+105
1
2
-0.39845-0.40422-0.49151
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
52.1%
47.9%
-101
-101
-107
+103


0
4
-0.69315-0.71752-0.73585
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
47.0%
53.0%
+122
-113
+125
-128
+1½-173
-1½+170
+1½-170
-1½+165
5
8
-0.61469-0.58315-0.63575
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
42.3%
57.7%
+172
-186
+175
-185
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
4
3
-1.01846-1.02427-0.86102
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.2%
64.8%
+154
-152
+154
-157
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-130
-1½+125
1
8
-0.50243-0.49742-0.43413
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.3%
55.7%
+116
-122
+118
-126
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
6
-0.61109-0.60037-0.58557
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
38.1%
61.9%
+139
-147
+146
-148
+1½-140
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
1
-0.53242-0.51950-0.47896
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
62.5%
37.5%
-145
+141
-150
+144
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-125
3
4
-0.88637-0.90177-0.98046
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
52.2%
47.8%
-116
+110
-113
+106
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
6
-0.75509-0.73854-0.73800
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
48.6%
51.4%
-112
+104
-110
+108
-1½+142
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-160
7
4
-0.65643-0.65120-0.72136
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
36.4%
63.6%
+208
-215
+213
-219
+1½-103
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-105
1
5
-0.38912-0.38211-0.45245
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
55.7%
44.3%
-170
+168
-178
+165
-1½-105
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-105
2
1
-0.46537-0.46334-0.58530
Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians
60.7%
39.3%
-197
+181
-190
+185
-1½-125
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+110
9
3
-0.42952-0.42889-0.49855
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
60.0%
40.0%
-185
+175
-185
+175
-1½-118
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+105
5
3
-0.44482-0.44482-0.51063
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
45.8%
54.2%
+125
-127
+125
-126
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
9
6
-0.81484-0.81290-0.78148
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.