MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
41.5%
58.5%
+173
-181
+169
-176
+1½-110
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+115
2
7
-0.45023-0.45931-0.53539
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
50.3%
49.7%
+127
-134
+129
-133
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+163
1
2
-0.57058-0.56815-0.69840
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
54.6%
45.4%
-128
+130
-135
+131
-1½+120
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-130
3
7
-0.82908-0.84460-0.79021
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
54.8%
45.2%
-128
+135
-145
+135
-1½+135
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
3
-0.84125-0.87165-0.79432
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
41.8%
58.2%
+168
-163
+164
-174
+1½-133
-1½+135
+1½-125
-1½+125
2
7
-0.47128-0.46780-0.54058
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
54.1%
45.9%
-120
+116
-125
+120
-1½+145
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
9
3
-0.61452-0.59784-0.61461
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
61.0%
39.0%
-173
+162
-173
+162
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-105
6
2
-0.47144-0.47144-0.49408
Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians
62.8%
37.2%
-172
+164
-166
+160
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½-105
6
0
-0.46940-0.48015-0.46601
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
53.7%
46.3%
+106
-114
+105
-115
+1½-192
-1½+172
+1½-194
-1½+175
4
6
-0.64777-0.64814-0.77076
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
36.1%
63.9%
+200
-217
+197
-210
+1½+105
-1½-116
+1½+100
-1½-113
4
5
-0.39672-0.40348-0.44827
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
37.3%
62.7%
+255
-272
+250
-270
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
7
3
-1.27974-1.26808-0.98682
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
45.6%
54.4%
+107
-115
+110
-116
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
8
7
-0.74537-0.75509-0.78634
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
62.6%
37.4%
-197
+188
-199
+181
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+110
5
3
-0.42100-0.42834-0.46863
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
43.4%
56.6%
+146
-152
+148
-148
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
4
-0.51519-0.51622-0.56997
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.1%
37.9%
-245
+245
-260
+250
-1½-142
+1½+147
-1½-154
+1½+140
4
5
-1.23836-1.26068-0.97035
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
58.5%
41.5%
-157
+150
-157
+154
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-115
3
0
-0.50367-0.49742-0.53609
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.