MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
41.4%
58.6%
+257
-285
+260
-280
+1½+137
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-140
1
9
-0.32092-0.31990-0.53360
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
33.6%
66.4%
+206
-225
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-108
3
1
-1.13734-1.13038-1.08939
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
64.3%
35.7%
-203
+187
-199
+189
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+120
7
8
-1.07256-1.07277-1.02960
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
36.6%
63.4%
+188
-197
+197
-203
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
3
-0.42100-0.40717-0.45620
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
65.2%
34.8%
-234
+277
-290
+270
-1½-150
+1½+167
-1½-174
+1½+165
9
5
-0.32107-0.31004-0.42739
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
42.1%
57.9%
+131
-131
+129
-135
+1½-155
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+154
1
4
-0.56722-0.56539-0.54642
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
35.2%
64.8%
+172
-181
+176
-184
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-128
-1½+110
1
6
-0.45157-0.44420-0.43320
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
42.5%
57.5%
+145
-154
+146
-150
+1½-148
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
6
3
-0.91046-0.90666-0.85642
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cleveland Guardians
36.3%
63.7%
+192
-205
+193
-208
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-108
4
7
-0.41180-0.40905-0.45152
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
35.6%
64.4%
+185
-200
+189
-194
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
4
-0.42286-0.42159-0.44065
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
40.3%
59.7%
+161
-169
+160
-165
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-148
-1½+135
7
3
-0.97067-0.96273-0.90847
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
46.5%
53.5%
+124
-132
+126
-132
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-178
-1½+160
3
1
-0.82175-0.82675-0.76615
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
49.0%
51.0%
-114
+112
-121
+114
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+136
+1½-155
2
3
-0.75581-0.77551-0.67407
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
35.7%
64.3%
+161
-174
+162
-170
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
3
-0.47209-0.47387-0.44108
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
57.8%
42.2%
-149
+140
-145
+145
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-120
9
5
-0.52846-0.52452-0.54834
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
48.7%
51.3%
+109
-115
+107
-115
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-195
-1½+175
1
3
-0.63898-0.64352-0.66806
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.