MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
42.0%
58.0%
+160
-172
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
2
9
-0.47514-0.47678-0.54542
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
38.1%
61.9%
+184
-197
+185
-195
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+102
2
1
-1.05909-1.05915-0.96396
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
50.8%
49.2%
+110
-115
+112
-120
+1½-183
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
8
2
-0.75294-0.76841-0.67767
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
43.7%
56.3%
+146
-156
+153
-154
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+135
0
6
-0.51108-0.50193-0.57401
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
37.8%
62.2%
+162
-173
+162
-170
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
5
3
-0.97843-0.97442-0.97196
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
37.7%
62.3%
+218
-238
+215
-235
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-122
1
13
-0.36921-0.37333-0.47345
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cleveland Guardians
43.1%
56.9%
+123
-132
+125
-131
+1½-178
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
6
3
-0.81925-0.82241-0.84248
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
55.4%
44.6%
-127
+118
-127
+121
-1½+137
+1½-153
-1½+141
+1½-150
3
1
-0.59878-0.59265-0.59036
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
40.9%
59.1%
+151
-161
+155
-158
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+127
8
6
-0.93542-0.94063-0.89475
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
69.4%
30.6%
-275
+245
-270
+247
-1½-165
+1½+152
-1½-160
+1½+150
3
5
-1.26128-1.26192-1.18545
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
70.5%
29.5%
-354
+319
-340
+310
-1½-195
+1½+183
-1½-190
+1½+180
1
5
-1.45094-1.42749-1.21959
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
47.1%
52.9%
+136
-145
+135
-140
+1½-162
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
1
-0.87412-0.86325-0.75279
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
38.7%
61.3%
+205
-225
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-102
5
13
-0.38769-0.38995-0.48949
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
53.4%
46.6%
-135
+128
-136
+128
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
8
2
-0.56729-0.56593-0.62809
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
40.8%
59.2%
+185
-201
+186
-200
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½-100
1
4
-0.42230-0.42166-0.52381
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
42.8%
57.2%
+156
-165
+157
-160
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
1
-0.95319-0.94837-0.84917
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.