MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
42.6%
57.4%
+157
-167
+160
-164
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
2
-0.95836-0.96131-0.85402
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
44.5%
55.5%
+160
-171
+161
-172
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
7
2
-0.97101-0.97471-0.80874
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
47.1%
52.9%
+125
-133
+127
-128
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
5
-0.57583-0.57925-0.63726
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cleveland Guardians
41.8%
58.2%
+149
-157
+148
-154
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
5
6
-0.50526-0.50986-0.54108
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
38.2%
61.8%
+165
-177
+165
-172
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-123
-1½+110
2
7
-0.46409-0.46797-0.48185
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
70.6%
29.4%
-240
+220
-250
+224
-1½-150
+1½+137
-1½-143
+1½+135
7
3
-0.36652-0.35914-0.34871
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
44.2%
55.8%
+107
-113
+107
-115
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
3
1
-0.74108-0.74537-0.81674
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
37.1%
62.9%
+161
-169
+162
-165
+1½-130
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
0
4
-0.47615-0.47810-0.46370
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres
40.8%
59.2%
+124
-134
+130
-131
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+142
2
3
-0.57638-0.56909-0.52386
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
48.2%
51.8%
+118
-127
+120
-124
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
2
-0.79735-0.79653-0.72915
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
67.0%
33.0%
-185
+174
-185
+180
-1½-130
+1½+117
-1½-130
+1½+125
7
3
-0.44612-0.43838-0.40030
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
32.1%
67.9%
+245
-271
+250
-280
+1½+127
-1½-143
+1½+125
-1½-134
1
4
-0.33420-0.32768-0.38684
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
45.0%
55.0%
+127
-137
+135
-135
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
3
-0.56650-0.55431-0.59873
Baltimore Orioles
Cincinnati Reds
50.7%
49.3%
+114
-122
+113
-118
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
3
-0.61535-0.62452-0.70759
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
37.9%
62.1%
+216
-230
+204
-220
+1½-106
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-104
5
3
-1.16389-1.12815-0.96967
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
53.5%
46.5%
-127
+119
-126
+126
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
9
3
-0.59673-0.58426-0.62478
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.