MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Boston Red Sox
52.3%
47.7%
-137
+128
-137
+129
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-131
2
7
-0.84070-0.84318-0.74013
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
32.8%
67.2%
+236
-260
+235
-260
+1½+127
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-134
8
6
-1.23158-1.22946-1.11389
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
33.9%
66.1%
+200
-220
+201
-215
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-108
-1½-105
0
1
-0.39531-0.39659-0.41452
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.0%
38.0%
-166
+156
-165
+162
-1½+102
+1½-117
-1½+102
+1½-120
8
2
-0.48608-0.47810-0.47860
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
49.3%
50.7%
-113
+105
-108
+110
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
0
-0.65204-0.65082-0.70806
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
32.0%
68.0%
+243
-270
+250
-280
+1½+125
-1½-138
+1½+126
-1½-140
1
4
-0.33614-0.32768-0.38554
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
47.5%
52.5%
+111
-118
+112
-120
+1½-182
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
7
9
-0.62891-0.62315-0.64460
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
37.9%
62.1%
+121
-128
+125
-130
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+158
4
5
-0.59111-0.58016-0.47657
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
67.1%
32.9%
-218
+198
-215
+215
-1½-150
+1½+137
-1½-145
+1½+145
3
5
-1.11279-1.14740-1.11200
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
35.2%
64.8%
+196
-215
+201
-212
+1½+102
-1½-117
+1½-100
-1½-114
2
6
-0.40211-0.39806-0.43413
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres
47.7%
52.3%
+120
-127
+124
-127
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+168
7
4
-0.80236-0.81236-0.74116
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
40.2%
59.8%
+158
-166
+155
-162
+1½-137
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
2
3
-0.48310-0.49117-0.51421
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.6%
40.4%
-152
+142
-145
+142
-1½+108
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
2
1
-0.52182-0.52957-0.51698
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
54.4%
45.6%
-127
+118
-129
+128
-1½+122
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
6
7
-0.79735-0.82608-0.78526
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
39.3%
60.7%
+173
-187
+174
-185
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
5
4
-1.02201-1.02196-0.93323
Baltimore Orioles
Cincinnati Reds
51.3%
48.7%
+101
-108
+100
-107


2
8
-0.67201-0.67666-0.71902
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.