MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
57.1%
42.9%
-188
+174
-185
+185
-1½-123
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+107
4
0
-0.44410-0.43214-0.56031
Milwaukee Brewers
Boston Red Sox
48.3%
51.7%
-114
+106
-110
+105


9
4
-0.64777-0.65817-0.72766
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
34.9%
65.1%
+245
-273
+255
-266
+1½+127
-1½-143
+1½+135
-1½-140
3
5
-0.33364-0.32756-0.42906
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
28.2%
71.8%
+260
-285
+265
-277
+1½+137
-1½-148
+1½+145
-1½-147
2
8
-0.31864-0.31690-0.33183
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
45.4%
54.6%
+131
-141
+135
-137
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
4
6
-0.55384-0.55166-0.60547
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
44.6%
55.4%
+145
-127
+120
-125
+1½-155
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
4
2
-0.86320-0.79851-0.80699
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres
51.4%
48.6%
+119
-120
+122
-123
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
10
-0.60822-0.59700-0.72249
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
47.3%
52.7%
+100
-101
+102
-105

+1½-215
-1½+192
7
2
-0.69563-0.71031-0.74786
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
64.1%
35.9%
-190
+202
-220
+205
-1½-135
+1½+142
-1½-145
+1½+135
5
4
-0.40907-0.38995-0.44421
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
37.8%
62.2%
+185
-185
+181
-190
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+104
7
3
-1.04731-1.04418-0.97305
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
39.4%
60.6%
+168
-162
+170
-180
+1½-131
-1½+130
+1½-130
-1½+122
1
11
-0.47217-0.45497-0.50139
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
34.6%
65.4%
+187
-200
+193
-205
+1½-109
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½-105
2
5
-0.42045-0.41065-0.42506
Milwaukee Brewers
Boston Red Sox
56.0%
44.0%
-135
+150
-160
+153
-1½+115
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-112
4
1
-0.52845-0.49610-0.58019
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
45.2%
54.8%
+116
-123
+115
-122
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
4
1
-0.78454-0.78001-0.79370
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
26.7%
73.3%
+301
-335
+300
-325
+1½+155
-1½-163
+1½+150
-1½-160
4
2
-1.40809-1.40088-1.32111
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
28.0%
72.0%
+319
-330
+325
-365
+1½+160
-1½-168
+1½+170
-1½-170
5
11
-0.27077-0.26217-0.32875
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.