MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
38.4%
61.6%
+225
-245
+224
-250
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+120
-1½-126
6
1
-1.19634-1.19826-0.95743
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
50.0%
50.0%
+104
-113
+105
-109

-1½+165
+1½-175
6
4
-0.73345-0.72714-0.69281
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
43.9%
56.1%
+139
-148
+146
-148
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
5
-0.53128-0.51950-0.57869
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
-118
+117
-115
+112
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
2
4
-0.77683-0.75796-0.64821
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.4%
46.6%
-107
+100
-108
+105
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-160
3
5
-0.70991-0.72486-0.76439
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
63.9%
36.1%
-200
+185
-192
+189
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-116
+1½+105
2
4
-1.06470-1.06479-1.01891
Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
56.2%
43.8%
-122
+115
-122
+115
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+116
+1½-130
5
6
-0.78001-0.78001-0.82460
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.7%
70.3%
+220
-240
+227
-240
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
1
7
-0.36652-0.35994-0.35172
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
40.5%
59.5%
+194
-203
+195
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
4
10
-0.41059-0.41110-0.51945
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
49.3%
50.7%
+119
-123
+119
-127
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
0
-0.79206-0.79986-0.70753
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
55.3%
44.7%
-133
+124
-134
+126
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-142
3
4
-0.82357-0.83037-0.80497
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
54.8%
45.2%
-135
+127
-140
+132
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
7
-0.83466-0.85583-0.79319
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
42.7%
57.3%
+165
-175
+163
-172
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+130
4
5
-0.46561-0.47082-0.55607
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.9%
62.1%
+216
-230
+221
-245
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-124
8
3
-1.16389-1.18771-0.96993
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
60.5%
39.5%
-155
+146
-154
+147
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-115
3
5
-0.91442-0.91532-0.92864
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.8%
38.2%
-183
+175
-185
+176
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-119
+1½+105
3
7
-1.02182-1.02661-0.96354
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.