MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
40.4%
59.6%
+173
-183
+175
-184
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
2
0
-1.01716-1.02304-0.90547
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
43.2%
56.8%
+128
-135
+130
-132
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-156
-1½+145
2
3
-0.56729-0.56768-0.56548
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
59.4%
40.6%
-159
+152
-158
+151
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+105
+1½-115
4
12
-0.93491-0.93102-0.90217
Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox
43.7%
56.3%
-105
-103
-103
-104
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
1
3
-0.69788-0.69079-0.57394
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
52.5%
47.5%
-107
+100
-105
+105
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
1
5
-0.70991-0.71785-0.74471
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
54.3%
45.7%
-167
+159
-164
+164
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
4
6
-0.96317-0.97077-0.78333
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
50.2%
49.8%
+123
-129
+129
-127
+1½-166
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
11
-0.58559-0.57691-0.69814
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
49.7%
50.3%
+121
-130
+130
-132
+1½-176
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
5
8
-0.58810-0.56768-0.68772
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
53.7%
46.3%
-106
-101
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
8
5
-0.68136-0.67446-0.62207
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.7%
64.3%
+202
-220
+210
-220
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-106
4
7
-0.39315-0.38472-0.44149
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
45.0%
55.0%
+110
-116
+115
-120
+1½-181
-1½+165
+1½-174
-1½+165
4
3
-0.75509-0.77596-0.79955
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
52.4%
47.6%
-134
+129
-140
+132
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
11
8
-0.56676-0.55326-0.64623
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
46.5%
53.5%
+138
-148
+142
-146
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+142
3
6
-0.53302-0.52841-0.62498
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
60.1%
39.9%
-143
+134
-141
+140
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
2
4
-0.86586-0.87719-0.91779
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
40.7%
59.3%
+170
-180
+172
-182
+1½-119
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
9
10
-0.45497-0.45086-0.52302
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
62.9%
37.1%
-161
+152
-159
+154
-1½-106
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
9
1
-0.49671-0.49549-0.46415
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.