MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
56.3%
43.7%
-150
+146
-152
+145
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-114
3
6
-0.90666-0.90736-0.82828
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
40.0%
60.0%
+197
-200
+190
-205
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-109
9
1
-1.09192-1.08152-0.91682
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
63.7%
36.3%
-167
+157
-169
+165
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-109
+1½+105
6
0
-0.48373-0.47040-0.45078
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
53.5%
46.5%
-152
+142
-152
+154
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½-106
+1½+100
8
4
-0.52182-0.50243-0.62583
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.0%
37.0%
-156
+148
-158
+154
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-124
6
5
-0.50785-0.49645-0.46191
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
42.0%
58.0%
+105
-110
+109
-113
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+163
4
3
-0.72940-0.74611-0.86702
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
48.2%
51.8%
-130
+129
-131
+127
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+127
+1½-140
1
3
-0.83046-0.82739-0.65712
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.1%
57.9%
+141
-151
+146
-148
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-140
-1½+126
2
7
-0.52457-0.51950-0.54702
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
+201
-210
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-113
2
7
-0.39906-0.38995-0.50793
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
44.6%
55.4%
+153
-162
+157
-162
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
4
5
-0.49423-0.48815-0.59074
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+159
-168
+164
-167
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+123
2
4
-0.47991-0.47350-0.46455
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
56.1%
43.9%
+103
-107
+100
-107
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
6
-0.66935-0.67666-0.82262
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
33.7%
66.3%
+240
-260
+243
-260
+1½+110
-1½-127
+1½+112
-1½-130
4
9
-0.34163-0.33910-0.41104
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
43.3%
56.7%
+133
-143
+139
-142
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
2
1
-0.86339-0.87647-0.83609
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
65.0%
35.0%
-228
+210
-230
+213
-1½-137
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+125
3
6
-1.14895-1.15734-1.05039
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.5%
48.5%
-114
+108
-108
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-161
0
1
-0.74575-0.72486-0.72369
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.