MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
54.4%
45.6%
-139
+140
-140
+138
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-120
7
6
-0.54025-0.54249-0.60892
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
41.9%
58.1%
+118
-126
+120
-123
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
15
2
-0.79542-0.79454-0.87091
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
47.8%
52.2%
-123
+115
-123
+115
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
8
1
-0.61153-0.61153-0.73827
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
56.1%
43.9%
-138
+129
-138
+133
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-128
5
9
-0.84492-0.85484-0.82223
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
46.2%
53.8%
+108
-118
+112
-120
+1½-185
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
9
-0.63563-0.62315-0.62005
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
42.7%
57.3%
+152
-158
+150
-155
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+145
0
5
-0.49956-0.50566-0.55741
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
52.3%
47.7%
+122
-130
+120
-126
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
7
-0.58609-0.59626-0.73965
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
50.8%
49.2%
+134
+129
-136
+132

-1½+131
+1½-145
7
2
-0.70401-0.55846-0.67824
Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins
46.5%
53.5%
+118
-128
+119
-128
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
8
0
-0.79924-0.80176-0.76675
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
50.4%
49.6%
+119
-125
+121
-127
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.59989-0.59265-0.70130
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
40.0%
60.0%
+142
-151
+146
-150
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
1
-0.89848-0.90666-0.91682
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
45.2%
54.8%
+145
-155
+152
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-135
-1½+140
5
9
-0.51371-0.50765-0.60210
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
41.5%
58.5%
+151
-160
+155
-160
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
8
3
-0.93397-0.94358-0.87842
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
54.0%
46.0%
-126
+122
-128
+120
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
6
2
-0.59220-0.59314-0.61678
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
57.1%
42.9%
-135
+127
-137
+138
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.83466-0.86531-0.84690
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
50.0%
50.0%
-115
+110
-115
+108
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
11
0
-0.63673-0.64124-0.69245
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.