MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals
52.2%
47.8%
+102
-103
+100
-104
+1½-190
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
4
-0.70552-0.70289-0.64990
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
33.2%
66.8%
+200
-215
+205
-215
+1½-107
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-105
0
13
-0.39768-0.39229-0.40362
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
53.3%
46.7%
-115
+107
-113
+110
-1½+138
+1½-150
-1½+141
+1½-150
6
5
-0.64352-0.64059-0.63002
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
58.8%
41.2%
-143
+135
-140
+133
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
3
5
-0.86833-0.85830-0.88564
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
47.0%
53.0%
+105
-114
+108
-115
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
7
5
-0.73814-0.74790-0.75453
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago Cubs
48.3%
51.7%
+111
-121
+112
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4
2
-0.76791-0.76222-0.72832
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
29.8%
70.2%
+262
-290
+260
-278
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-138
4
3
-1.30612-1.29408-1.21147
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
39.9%
60.1%
+146
-155
+148
-155
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+126
14
7
-0.91442-0.91925-0.91759
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
58.3%
41.7%
-155
+145
-150
+149
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
6
7
-0.91198-0.91389-0.87383
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
46.6%
53.4%
+139
-145
+138
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-152
-1½+145
6
3
-0.88150-0.87904-0.76299
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
43.8%
56.2%
+189
-200
+185
-200
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
1
4
-0.41806-0.42286-0.57661
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
53.4%
46.6%
+140
+153
-158
+152

-1½+100
+1½-110
7
0
-0.66713-0.49956-0.62642
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
50.7%
49.3%
-111
+103
-113
+104
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
3
-0.72654-0.73345-0.70716
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
42.6%
57.4%
+169
-179
+169
-178
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-100
3
4
-0.45706-0.45781-0.55462
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
42.5%
57.5%
+145
-150
+146
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+140
3
2
-0.90421-0.90666-0.85604
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
44.8%
55.2%
+150
-158
+148
-158
+1½-136
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
1
4
-0.50269-0.50587-0.59375
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.