MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
33.7%
66.3%
+188
-203
+195
-210
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-103
3
4
-0.41756-0.40573-0.41053
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
53.0%
47.0%
-115
+108
-118
+112
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
5
6
-0.74790-0.76430-0.75426
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
34.5%
65.5%
+224
-235
+225
-245
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-125
2
12
-0.36462-0.35997-0.42275
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
60.9%
39.1%
-148
+140
-148
+142
-1½+101
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
12
5
-0.52957-0.52616-0.49658
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
41.0%
59.0%
+150
-158
+146
-153
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+144
5
2
-0.92862-0.91135-0.89106
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
43.7%
56.3%
+119
-127
+124
-130
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+148
4
5
-0.59673-0.58212-0.57462
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
62.3%
37.7%
-167
+161
-168
+170
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½+100
1
2
-0.96793-0.99048-0.97532
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
55.2%
44.8%
-108
+108
-105
+100
-1½+150
+1½-145
-1½+150
+1½-160
3
8
-0.73237-0.70528-0.80316
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.3%
63.7%
+246
-265
+240
-255
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+130
-1½-130
3
5
-0.33510-0.34321-0.45114
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
44.9%
55.1%
+130
-140
+130
-135
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+168
1
2
-0.55696-0.56352-0.59660
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.6%
50.4%
-108
-101
-108
+101
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
3
-0.67690-0.67201-0.70055
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
38.2%
61.8%
+216
-235
+220
-240
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-118
2
1
-1.16835-1.18136-0.96349
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
38.8%
61.2%
+214
-230
+215
-235
+1½+109
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
2
-1.15954-1.16616-0.94770
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
60.6%
39.4%
-152
+142
-154
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
6
5
-0.52182-0.51473-0.50018
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
42.6%
57.4%
+112
-120
+112
-118
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
5
-0.62315-0.62672-0.55514
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
39.1%
60.9%
+154
-164
+155
-165
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
0
10
-0.49089-0.48848-0.49561
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.