MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
47.3%
52.7%
+122
-128
+123
-130
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+175
6
2
-0.80930-0.81556-0.74836
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.9%
68.1%
+255
-280
+260
-275
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-135
3
5
-0.32375-0.32121-0.38443
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
69.2%
30.8%
-250
+237
-270
+242
-1½-151
+1½+140
-1½-152
+1½+150
1
5
-1.22588-1.25152-1.17652
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
47.1%
52.9%
+127
-135
+128
-136
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-156
-1½+145
6
3
-0.83466-0.83894-0.75343
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
41.2%
58.8%
+160
-166
+160
-167
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+112
3
6
-0.48015-0.47929-0.53115
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
43.3%
56.7%
+160
-170
+164
-165
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
8
2
-0.96964-0.97220-0.83695
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
55.0%
45.0%
-122
+114
-120
+118
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-145
3
5
-0.77751-0.78347-0.79871
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
61.4%
38.6%
-165
+155
-157
+157
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-107
+1½+100
7
4
-0.48848-0.49284-0.48818
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.7%
38.3%
-178
+172
-180
+170
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
3
8
-1.00854-1.00641-0.95954
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
36.3%
63.7%
+233
-235
+216
-240
+1½+125
-1½-125
+1½+130
-1½-130
6
7
-0.35633-0.37040-0.45042
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
40.2%
59.8%
+130
-133
+136
-140
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+138
2
5
-0.56627-0.54604-0.51473
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
47.1%
52.9%
+104
-113
+110
-114
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+170
0
4
-0.65441-0.63864-0.63631
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
55.4%
44.6%
-139
+135
-132
+136
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
1
4
-0.86152-0.85132-0.80753
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.7%
51.3%
-105
-104
-102
-101
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
6
7
-0.69549-0.69559-0.66719
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
53.5%
46.5%
+103
-113
+105
-107

-1½+160
+1½-170
3
2
-0.73091-0.72256-0.62474
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
44.7%
55.3%
+154
-156
+160
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
0
4
-0.49839-0.48552-0.59276
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.