MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
38.6%
61.4%
+128
-137
+133
-136
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+171
1
2
-0.56460-0.55661-0.48737
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.9%
61.1%
+183
-195
+182
-195
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-107
-1½+105
4
2
-1.05455-1.05225-0.94384
Chicago White Sox
San Francisco Giants
46.3%
53.7%
+128
-135
+130
-132
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-177
-1½+165
13
4
-0.83716-0.83665-0.76940
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
50.5%
49.5%
-110
+102
-106
+105
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
6
-0.72177-0.72021-0.70267
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
52.4%
47.6%
+102
-110
+108
-110
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
4
2
-0.72177-0.73693-0.64552
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
41.1%
58.9%
+137
-145
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-140
-1½+135
3
1
-0.87659-0.89199-0.88812
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
35.8%
64.2%
+205
-215
+205
-220
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-114
2
4
-0.39229-0.38995-0.44326
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
42.8%
57.2%
+119
-127
+121
-128
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
4
-0.59673-0.59111-0.55869
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
59.5%
40.5%
-155
+145
-160
+155
-1½+104
+1½-115
-1½+106
+1½-110
0
2
-0.91198-0.94358-0.90335
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
59.6%
40.4%
-161
+155
-158
+155
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-111
3
4
-0.94508-0.94063-0.90612
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
42.4%
57.6%
+117
-125
+123
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
7
3
-0.79098-0.80401-0.85866
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.8%
38.2%
-194
+185
-205
+190
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
2
0
-0.42641-0.41412-0.48172
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
57.3%
42.7%
-123
+113
-122
+115
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-150
7
4
-0.61582-0.61323-0.55661
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
45.1%
54.9%
+130
-138
+133
-138
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
4
-0.84742-0.85484-0.79580
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
47.2%
52.8%
+151
-155
+146
-150
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
7
11
-0.50408-0.51730-0.63845
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
55.3%
44.7%
-138
+138
-141
+146
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-115
1
3
-0.86710-0.89170-0.80605
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.