MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
47.5%
52.5%
+130
-140
+136
-140
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
4
-0.55696-0.54604-0.64516
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.1%
41.9%
-125
+123
-127
+129
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
7
8
-0.80598-0.82469-0.87079
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
53.2%
46.8%
-133
+129
-130
+126
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
1
2
-0.83602-0.82303-0.76023
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
45.7%
54.3%
+134
-144
+134
-143
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+139
4
14
-0.54473-0.54592-0.61031
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
43.0%
57.0%
+135
-142
+140
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+136
3
5
-0.54535-0.53299-0.56256
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
46.8%
53.2%
+173
-183
+172
-180
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-125
-1½+115
1
4
-0.44882-0.45229-0.63032
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
65.5%
34.5%
-200
+188
-200
+197
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+130
8
4
-0.41925-0.40883-0.42369
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
46.3%
53.7%
+126
-134
+124
-132
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-174
-1½+160
3
8
-0.57251-0.57921-0.62161
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
49.9%
50.1%
-129
+122
-129
+122
-1½+131
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-145
4
3
-0.58758-0.58758-0.69559
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
45.9%
54.1%
+118
-123
+115
-123
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
6
7
-0.60523-0.61153-0.61393
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
40.4%
59.6%
+152
-161
+153
-162
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+130
6
5
-0.93785-0.94171-0.90723
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
53.9%
46.1%
-129
+122
-133
+130
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-136
4
1
-0.58758-0.56627-0.61886
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
43.0%
57.0%
+115
-121
+112
-117
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
9
-0.61493-0.62854-0.56163
Detroit Tigers
San Francisco Giants
35.3%
64.7%
+175
-183
+176
-183
+1½-120
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+109
3
2
-1.02182-1.02415-1.04174
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.9%
45.1%
-127
+118
-127
+123
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-143
4
0
-0.59878-0.58864-0.60040
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
56.6%
43.4%
-110
+103
-111
+105
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
2
-0.72433-0.73162-0.83411
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.