MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
New York Mets
55.2%
44.8%
-143
+135
-140
+136
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-134
2
0
-0.54412-0.54604-0.59403
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
29.9%
70.1%
+292
-320
+289
-320
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+155
-1½-155
3
5
-0.28880-0.29073-0.35548
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
43.5%
56.5%
+135
-144
+135
-142
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+148
8
7
-0.86998-0.86664-0.83273
Milwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays
44.5%
55.5%
+113
-123
+121
-119
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
5
3
-0.77696-0.78884-0.81060
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
38.0%
62.0%
+147
-153
+145
-152
+1½-145
-1½+134
+1½-145
-1½+136
0
2
-0.51251-0.51683-0.47828
Detroit Tigers
San Francisco Giants
35.3%
64.7%
+193
-210
+201
-200
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
3
4
-0.40801-0.40437-0.43481
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.5%
44.5%
-103
-105
-106
+101
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
6
7
-0.68844-0.71013-0.81002
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
43.6%
56.4%
+110
-117
+113
-118
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
11
4
-0.75717-0.76684-0.83089
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
63.1%
36.9%
-205
+190
-205
+201
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-138
+1½+135
4
7
-1.08152-1.10627-0.99650
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
56.0%
44.0%
-147
+138
-145
+140
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
8
3
-0.53415-0.53299-0.58025
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
47.5%
52.5%
+112
-117
+109
-112
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
5
3
-0.76222-0.74391-0.74438
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
41.6%
58.4%
+130
-139
+135
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+136
3
5
-0.55823-0.54782-0.53833
Houston Astros
New York Mets
52.7%
47.3%
-117
+110
-110
+109
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-158
9
1
-0.63297-0.64890-0.64111
Milwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays
51.9%
48.1%
+102
-106
+102
-106
+1½-230
-1½+200
+1½-210
-1½+200
5
3
-0.71266-0.71266-0.65495
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
50.6%
49.4%
-110
+101
-106
+103
-1½+145
+1½-160

6
0
-0.66771-0.67158-0.68169
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.0%
55.0%
+125
-130
+125
-129
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+155
5
6
-0.58016-0.58164-0.59695
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.