MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers
63.0%
37.0%
-135
+126
-136
+132
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-134
9
4
-0.57111-0.55846-0.46245
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
42.4%
57.6%
+135
-145
+138
-138
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+140
1
0
-0.87165-0.86710-0.85750
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
37.1%
62.9%
+160
-170
+164
-165
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
4
1
-0.96964-0.97220-0.99231
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
44.2%
55.8%
+131
-140
+133
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
3
-0.55511-0.55144-0.58284
Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers
39.1%
60.9%
+141
-149
+144
-151
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
2
1
-0.89287-0.90335-0.94007
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
54.0%
46.0%
-123
+115
-118
+113
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
4
1
-0.61153-0.62452-0.61695
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
33.6%
66.4%
+185
-198
+193
-205
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+107
3
4
-0.42402-0.41065-0.40941
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
53.7%
46.3%
-114
+104
-112
+106
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
6
3
-0.65243-0.65174-0.62138
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
47.1%
52.9%
+113
-120
+115
-122
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+176
3
1
-0.77096-0.78001-0.75385
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
45.8%
54.2%
+128
-131
+129
-135
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
3
-0.82986-0.83965-0.78167
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
43.9%
56.1%
+136
-145
+143
-149
+1½-160
-1½+141
+1½-145
-1½+145
6
2
-0.87412-0.89776-0.82296
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
40.9%
59.1%
+145
-155
+148
-152
+1½-140
-1½+128
+1½-130
-1½+125
4
0
-0.91198-0.91462-0.89348
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
45.8%
54.2%
+125
-127
+125
-127
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+152
6
7
-0.58467-0.58467-0.61234
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
55.2%
44.8%
-114
+105
-115
+107
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
1
-0.65009-0.64352-0.59339
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
50.3%
49.7%
+113
-121
+114
-120
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
6
-0.61923-0.61880-0.69842
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
47.6%
52.4%
+123
-130
+125
-128
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+140
0
1
-0.58410-0.58315-0.64581
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.