MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
52.3%
47.7%
+103
-108
+105
-105
+1½-195
-1½+170

13
0
-0.71980-0.71785-0.64888
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
43.3%
56.7%
+147
-155
+154
-153
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+121
1
3
-0.51046-0.50140-0.56706
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.3%
58.7%
+182
-190
+181
-190
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+110
0
2
-0.43260-0.43383-0.53195
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
50.9%
49.1%
+111
-118
+113
-118
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
5
-0.62891-0.62452-0.71149
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
31.2%
68.8%
+210
-222
+215
-220
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
4
-0.38383-0.37964-0.37459
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.4%
49.6%
+109
-117
+108
-110
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
5
3
-0.75464-0.73693-0.68464
Cleveland Guardians
Colorado Rockies
58.3%
41.7%
-163
+153
-160
+155
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+100
4
3
-0.49333-0.49303-0.53907
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
53.9%
46.1%
-117
+108
-118
+112
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
3
-0.63747-0.62672-0.61741
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
58.3%
41.7%
-125
+117
-128
+120
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
12
5
-0.60404-0.59314-0.53950
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
35.1%
64.9%
+192
-175
+194
-205
+1½-110
-1½+110
+1½-110
-1½-105
1
9
-0.43060-0.40950-0.43164
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
56.5%
43.5%
-167
+160
-165
+160
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-108
5
1
-0.47929-0.48102-0.57153
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
35.5%
64.5%
+210
-220
+200
-220
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
1
6
-0.38472-0.39531-0.43883
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
38.7%
61.3%
+145
-152
+143
-148
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+153
0
4
-0.51683-0.52449-0.48991
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
34.9%
65.1%
+202
-215
+198
-205
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½-103
-1½-105
6
5
-1.11884-1.09958-1.05369
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
37.6%
62.4%
+190
-208
+190
-205
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-111
-1½-105
0
2
-0.41252-0.41412-0.47109
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
45.0%
55.0%
+130
-140
+136
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+140
11
9
-0.85085-0.86569-0.79855
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.