MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
65.2%
34.8%
-258
+245
-265
+247
-1½-170
+1½+159
-1½-165
+1½+165
10
4
-0.33805-0.33427-0.42720
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
39.4%
60.6%
+152
-160
+155
-159
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
3
-0.49765-0.49397-0.50007
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
48.1%
51.9%
+104
-108
+100
-105
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+185
3
2
-0.72233-0.70528-0.73149
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
38.8%
61.2%
+156
-166
+158
-165
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+127
2
6
-0.48608-0.48397-0.49109
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.4%
57.6%
+145
-150
+147
-148
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
5
4
-0.90421-0.90585-0.85889
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
53.0%
47.0%
-126
+116
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-144
4
1
-0.60453-0.60195-0.63441
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
58.2%
41.8%
-145
+135
-140
+134
-1½+110
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-125
9
5
-0.54173-0.54962-0.54208
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
57.0%
43.0%
-147
+139
-147
+146
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
3
5
-0.88474-0.90182-0.84285
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.3%
62.7%
+166
-176
+166
-178
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
5
7
-0.46345-0.46194-0.46741
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
58.0%
42.0%
-127
+118
-127
+119
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-140
9
5
-0.59878-0.59673-0.54430
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
28.6%
71.4%
+245
-260
+245
-270
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-130
1
11
-0.33743-0.33448-0.33717
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
44.9%
55.1%
+109
-117
+114
-116
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
3
-0.63522-0.62601-0.59535
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
47.2%
52.8%
+122
-127
+119
-125
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
1
-0.80737-0.79600-0.75071
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
48.9%
51.1%
+132
-138
+132
-138
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+140
2
0
-0.85238-0.85238-0.71574
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
36.1%
63.9%
+168
-174
+166
-178
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+120
4
2
-0.99396-0.99441-1.01993
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
50.2%
49.8%
-144
+137
-137
+140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-133
0
2
-0.87491-0.87017-0.69802
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.