MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
39.1%
60.9%
+146
-153
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
7
6
-0.91135-0.89199-0.93925
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
35.2%
64.8%
+221
-240
+220
-230
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-120
4
9
-0.36557-0.37044-0.43377
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
51.6%
48.4%
-117
+108
-117
+116
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
6
0
-0.63747-0.61986-0.66250
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
+131
-138
+132
-139
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
6
-0.84989-0.85411-0.86883
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
44.9%
55.1%
+125
-132
+125
-130
+1½-160
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+150
10
7
-0.82426-0.82055-0.80049
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
55.3%
44.7%
-121
+113
-120
+115
-1½+130
+1½-149
-1½+134
+1½-145
6
0
-0.61923-0.61667-0.59205
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
34.1%
65.9%
+185
-199
+193
-210
+1½-110
-1½-102
+1½-105
-1½+105
4
18
-0.42344-0.40801-0.41765
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
32.2%
67.8%
+216
-225
+213
-230
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
3
5
-0.37646-0.37734-0.38799
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
35.0%
65.0%
+169
-179
+172
-179
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
13
1
-1.00277-1.00981-1.05039
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
53.1%
46.9%
-120
+112
-123
+120
-1½+130
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-143
4
1
-0.62315-0.60110-0.63297
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
41.6%
58.4%
+158
-168
+156
-165
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
6
-0.48138-0.48696-0.53856
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
51.3%
48.7%
+111
-120
+110
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
6
7
-0.62534-0.63297-0.72007
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
34.2%
65.8%
+201
-220
+205
-220
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-109
-1½+100
6
2
-1.12147-1.13038-1.07224
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
51.3%
48.7%
-125
+117
-125
+118
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
6
11
-0.79098-0.79350-0.72050
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
33.1%
66.9%
+195
-210
+205
-220
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-115
0
8
-0.40573-0.38995-0.40190
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
54.2%
45.8%
-195
+188
-198
+193
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+120
2
3
-1.06601-1.08069-0.78152
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.