MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
58.1%
41.9%
-165
+157
-170
+156
-1½-103
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-110
5
4
-0.48547-0.48268-0.54261
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
41.0%
59.0%
+152
-161
+150
-160
+1½-134
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+120
7
2
-0.93785-0.93156-0.89165
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
41.1%
58.9%
+127
-134
+126
-136
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-165
-1½+158
7
1
-0.83287-0.83393-0.88948
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
40.8%
59.2%
+120
-127
+116
-126
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
1
4
-0.59470-0.60453-0.52447
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
38.7%
61.3%
+132
-142
+138
-150
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
3
-0.55076-0.53079-0.48903
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
53.4%
46.6%
-129
+121
-128
+120
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
3
4
-0.80867-0.80428-0.76275
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
34.5%
65.5%
+185
-197
+185
-200
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
5
-0.42460-0.42286-0.42297
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
46.4%
53.6%
-102
-105
-105
-105

-1½+150
+1½-160
1
2
-0.68605-0.69315-0.62345
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
47.6%
52.4%
+104
-109
+100
-110
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+185
4
10
-0.66266-0.67015-0.64542
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
40.9%
59.1%
+134
-143
+135
-141
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
0
6
-0.54592-0.54657-0.52653
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
53.5%
46.5%
-128
+122
-126
+118
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
7
2
-0.58909-0.60037-0.62551
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
46.2%
53.8%
-103
-106
-101
-105
+1½-215
-1½+189
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
1
-0.70019-0.70275-0.77165
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.7%
46.3%
-135
+128
-135
+127
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
0
2
-0.83716-0.83466-0.76979
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
38.0%
62.0%
+145
-155
+141
-154
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
4
-0.51371-0.52140-0.47841
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
44.0%
56.0%
+124
-130
+126
-129
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
6
4
-0.81805-0.82114-0.82184
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
44.7%
55.3%
+125
-132
+128
-134
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
1
-0.82426-0.83536-0.80517
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.