MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
24.2%
75.8%
+301
-330
+300
-330
+1½+150
-1½-160
+1½+160
-1½-165
6
5
-1.40548-1.40360-1.41927
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
-114
+107
-109
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-159
2
6
-0.74322-0.72714-0.72134
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
59.2%
40.8%
-133
+125
-135
+131
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-135
5
9
-0.82608-0.84460-0.89543
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
59.1%
40.9%
-121
+114
-125
+115
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
3
1
-0.61706-0.60825-0.52653
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
39.0%
61.0%
+154
-164
+155
-161
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+112
10
0
-0.94696-0.94508-0.94184
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
39.4%
60.6%
+157
-165
+167
-169
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
5
13
-0.48547-0.46759-0.50163
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
41.2%
58.8%
+133
-143
+138
-147
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
7
-0.54771-0.53415-0.53147
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
59.8%
40.2%
-145
+135
-142
+140
-1½+105
+1½-116
-1½+105
+1½-118
1
7
-0.87165-0.87890-0.91120
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
60.3%
39.7%
-150
+140
-150
+145
-1½+108
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
5
1
-0.52736-0.51896-0.50590
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
52.6%
47.4%
-112
+107
-111
+108
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
5
4
-0.64942-0.64913-0.64192
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
48.6%
51.4%
+112
-120
+114
-118
+1½-180
-1½+165

3
6
-0.62315-0.62235-0.66565
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
56.8%
43.2%
-137
+129
-137
+130
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-133
5
7
-0.84318-0.84567-0.83889
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
57.5%
42.5%
-132
+123
-128
+126
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
7
6
-0.58118-0.58119-0.55396
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
44.0%
56.0%
-122
+115
-120
+115
-1½+145
+1½-158

4
5
-0.78001-0.77596-0.57951
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.7%
43.3%
-141
+132
-140
+140
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
2
1
-0.55199-0.53900-0.56722
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
34.7%
65.3%
+162
-172
+165
-174
+1½-135
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+126
2
4
-0.47225-0.46639-0.42561
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.