MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
44.6%
55.4%
+123
-132
+128
-131
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
13
3
-0.81925-0.82986-0.80782
Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.0%
50.0%
+101
-110
+103
-108
+1½-200
-1½+176
+1½-185
-1½+178
5
9
-0.66771-0.66719-0.69215
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
42.9%
57.1%
+145
-149
+146
-154
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+136
6
7
-0.52003-0.51309-0.55968
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
49.8%
50.2%
-102
-103
+100
-105
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
2
3
-0.69073-0.68116-0.68880
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
42.8%
57.2%
+163
-168
+162
-174
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
6
1
-0.97405-0.97976-0.84950
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
49.4%
50.6%
+104
-113
+110
-113
+1½-210
-1½+182
+1½-197
-1½+175
3
7
-0.65441-0.64059-0.68078
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
36.9%
63.1%
+199
-215
+199
-210
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
4
5
-0.39878-0.40127-0.46040
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
51.8%
48.2%
-120
+113
-118
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-140
7
3
-0.62096-0.62019-0.65803
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
26.2%
73.8%
+261
-290
+263
-295
+1½+120
-1½-134
+1½+120
-1½-130
6
4
-1.30409-1.31130-1.33987
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
65.4%
34.6%
-207
+195
-213
+200
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-136
+1½+125
10
1
-0.40729-0.39866-0.42393
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
48.6%
51.4%
-124
+114
-124
+116
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-142
7
4
-0.61201-0.60776-0.72223
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.0%
51.0%
+126
-132
+125
-129
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
1
2
-0.57531-0.58164-0.67350
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
43.5%
56.5%
+159
-160
+157
-165
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+120
5
0
-0.95314-0.95558-0.83147
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
40.5%
59.5%
+185
-200
+195
-200
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+101
1
4
-0.42286-0.41110-0.51874
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
46.8%
53.2%
+125
-132
+130
-132
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
10
1
-0.82426-0.83665-0.75924
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
53.9%
46.1%
-110
+106
-108
+107
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-145
2
0
-0.65583-0.65772-0.61834
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.