MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
37.2%
62.8%
+143
-152
+145
-150
+1½-140
-1½+124
+1½-134
-1½+125
3
1
-0.90249-0.90421-0.98921
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
48.3%
51.7%
+122
-128
+123
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
4
5
-0.58909-0.59176-0.66002
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
55.4%
44.6%
+105
-113
+105
-112
+1½-200
-1½+180

7
6
-0.73601-0.73382-0.59097
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
35.9%
64.1%
+175
-185
+175
-180
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+110
2
5
-0.44482-0.44830-0.44529
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
33.6%
66.4%
+225
-240
+225
-247
+1½+110
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-115
8
2
-1.19214-1.19799-1.09103
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
35.5%
64.5%
+166
-176
+165
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
2
-0.99185-0.99458-1.03654
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
50.1%
49.9%
+111
-116
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
3
4
-0.63260-0.63673-0.69479
Cincinnati Reds
Toronto Blue Jays
32.4%
67.6%
+215
-232
+225
-240
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+115
-1½-120
3
2
-1.16353-1.19214-1.12636
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
42.8%
57.2%
+117
-125
+115
-120
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
8
-0.60404-0.61667-0.55935
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
66.4%
33.6%
-165
+155
-160
+160
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
6
7
-0.95078-0.95550-1.09175
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
59.0%
41.0%
-134
+125
-133
+127
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-123
3
4
-0.82789-0.83105-0.89250
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.7%
41.3%
-156
+147
-155
+150
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-115
18
4
-0.50946-0.50566-0.53328
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
42.6%
57.4%
+131
-138
+136
-138
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+152
3
5
-0.55767-0.54858-0.55513
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
57.6%
42.4%
-130
+130
-133
+129
-1½+125
+1½-126
-1½+120
+1½-130
3
11
-0.83292-0.83602-0.85838
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
57.0%
43.0%
-144
+136
-144
+140
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
9
2
-0.54116-0.53416-0.56224
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
37.6%
62.4%
+192
-205
+201
-198
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+101
1
2
-0.41180-0.40548-0.47090
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.