MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 28, 2025
Games for Dec 30, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
60.5%
39.5%
-154
+145
-148
+142
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+102
+1½-115
10
7
-0.51473-0.52616-0.50259
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
52.1%
47.9%
-128
+123
-128
+123
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-142
5
10
-0.81180-0.81180-0.73614
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
50.0%
50.0%
+105
-110
+105
-110
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
0
-0.72940-0.72940-0.69321
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
47.3%
52.7%
+132
-136
+132
-138
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+157
0
7
-0.55846-0.55582-0.63963
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
56.4%
43.6%
+103
-105
-102
-105
-1½+154
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
1
2
-0.67383-0.68605-0.82938
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
50.9%
49.1%
+108
-117
+108
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
13
4
-0.75211-0.75211-0.67558
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
40.5%
59.5%
+127
-133
+129
-136
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
-1½+145
0
3
-0.57197-0.56405-0.51968
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
70.2%
29.8%
-220
+216
-225
+213
-1½-140
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+130
5
4
-0.37864-0.37945-0.35331
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
48.4%
51.6%
+118
-103
+120
-128
+1½-172
-1½+175
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
3
-0.74484-0.80428-0.72617
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
49.5%
50.5%
+100
-109
+102
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+178
3
0
-0.71445-0.72177-0.70269
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
33.2%
66.8%
+266
-285
+268
-290
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+114
-1½-130
1
8
-0.31415-0.31148-0.40410
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
42.6%
57.4%
+138
-146
+140
-145
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-145
-1½+130
1
5
-0.53529-0.53299-0.55492
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
39.4%
60.6%
+142
-148
+145
-146
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+134
5
4
-0.89372-0.89776-0.93085
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
46.4%
53.6%
-106
-101
-105
+105
+1½-210
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+190
1
3
-0.70508-0.71785-0.62360
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.3%
65.7%
+205
-225
+205
-215
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
6
7
-0.38769-0.39229-0.42047
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
57.6%
42.4%
-185
+175
-179
+172
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-119
+1½+110
3
0
-0.44482-0.45301-0.55227
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.