MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
43.1%
56.9%
+141
-150
+143
-150
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
2
5
-0.52565-0.52227-0.56445
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
60.3%
39.7%
-136
+128
-133
+129
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+136
+1½-150
4
3
-0.56593-0.56815-0.50660
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
36.3%
63.7%
+279
-300
+280
-300
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+130
-1½-140
4
18
-0.30144-0.30075-0.45155
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
43.7%
56.3%
+127
-136
+132
-130
+1½-168
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+150
10
5
-0.83644-0.83783-0.82888
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
54.8%
45.2%
-145
+141
-148
+142
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-130
1
2
-0.88637-0.89372-0.79385
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
57.9%
42.1%
-131
+126
-130
+126
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
4
9
-0.82490-0.82303-0.86455
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
40.3%
59.7%
+175
-185
+172
-180
+1½-115
-1½+104
+1½-118
-1½+105
2
1
-1.02427-1.01107-0.90790
San Diego Padres
Cleveland Guardians
52.3%
47.7%
-134
+125
-132
+125
-1½+125
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-140
5
6
-0.82789-0.82426-0.73999
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
45.8%
54.2%
+123
-130
+125
-128
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+160
7
2
-0.81556-0.81676-0.77984
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
52.5%
47.5%
-125
+119
-124
+120
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
3
0
-0.59989-0.59946-0.64373
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
40.2%
59.8%
+204
-215
+201
-215
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+102
-1½-110
2
7
-0.39335-0.39659-0.51430
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
57.5%
42.5%
-136
+127
-135
+128
-1½+125
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-132
10
0
-0.56784-0.56729-0.55424
San Diego Padres
Cleveland Guardians
53.7%
46.3%
-124
+118
-126
+120
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
5
4
-0.60358-0.59626-0.62137
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
41.6%
58.4%
+147
-155
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+127
2
3
-0.51046-0.51577-0.53816
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
46.2%
53.8%
+122
-128
+124
-131
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+155
9
2
-0.80930-0.81991-0.77161
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
47.7%
52.3%
+159
-163
+154
-160
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+136
8
7
-0.95750-0.94120-0.73959
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.