MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.2%
52.8%
+128
-136
+128
-135
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
1
3
-0.56593-0.56729-0.63942
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
53.8%
46.2%
-124
+115
-123
+115
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+144
+1½-155
10
7
-0.60989-0.61153-0.62027
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
41.0%
59.0%
+132
-140
+129
-137
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
10
2
-0.85583-0.84318-0.89270
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
53.6%
46.4%
-104
-103
-104
-102
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-160
1
7
-0.69551-0.69794-0.76860
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
44.0%
56.0%
+145
-152
+143
-150
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
4
-0.51683-0.52227-0.58023
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
61.6%
38.4%
-128
+121
-129
+123
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-150
3
1
-0.59111-0.58559-0.48376
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
37.6%
62.4%
+210
-220
+210
-230
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-109
3
6
-0.38472-0.38037-0.47228
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
48.2%
51.8%
-128
+119
-126
+122
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-142
0
4
-0.80176-0.80544-0.65797
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
46.3%
53.7%
+123
-132
+125
-130
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
9
1
-0.81925-0.82055-0.76973
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
63.0%
37.0%
-163
+156
-162
+153
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-115
7
2
-0.48875-0.49423-0.46178
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
39.2%
60.8%
+139
-142
+134
-140
+1½-135
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+145
6
4
-0.87647-0.86079-0.93629
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
48.4%
51.6%
-105
+100
-102
-103
+1½-225
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+200
0
3
-0.70528-0.69073-0.66134
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
41.7%
58.3%
+180
-190
+181
-189
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+112
5
4
-1.04185-1.04299-0.87479
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
54.2%
45.8%
-106
-102
-105
+102
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+200
4
5
-0.70261-0.71031-0.78193
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
57.2%
42.8%
-158
+150
-158
+153
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
6
1
-0.50269-0.49801-0.55886
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
48.5%
51.5%
+128
-137
+129
-136
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-160
-1½+150
0
3
-0.56460-0.56405-0.66390
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.