MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
45.9%
54.1%
+148
-154
+145
-150
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
9
8
-0.91774-0.90421-0.77929
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
47.3%
52.7%
+119
-123
+117
-126
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
3
-0.60314-0.60245-0.63964
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.1%
65.9%
+195
-203
+191
-210
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
3
4
-0.40943-0.41030-0.41706
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.9%
52.1%
+126
-133
+125
-132
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-160
-1½+170
4
3
-0.82858-0.82426-0.73620
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
46.1%
53.9%
+103
-111
+104
-108
+1½-210
-1½+188
+1½-210
-1½+190
10
2
-0.72654-0.72233-0.77386
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
63.3%
36.7%
-177
+167
-180
+170
-1½-123
+1½+107
-1½-125
+1½+110
0
6
-0.99552-1.00641-1.00128
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
44.3%
55.7%
+152
-162
+156
-168
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
8
4
-0.93928-0.95735-0.81495
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
37.2%
62.8%
+154
-164
+155
-165
+1½-130
-1½+119
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
6
-0.49089-0.48848-0.46588
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.6%
44.4%
-127
+120
-128
+124
-1½+128
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
1
6
-0.80236-0.81428-0.81085
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
45.8%
54.2%
+139
-148
+142
-147
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
9
3
-0.88637-0.89211-0.78010
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
56.1%
43.9%
-137
+129
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
3
-0.84318-0.84742-0.82394
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
53.2%
46.8%
-120
+113
-118
+112
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
+1½-145
5
0
-0.62096-0.62672-0.63119
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.0%
66.0%
+173
-182
+175
-190
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+110
10
7
-1.01592-1.03022-1.07813
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
+120
-129
+125
-126
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
1
-0.59162-0.58621-0.64737
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.4%
46.6%
-110
+102
-110
+105
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
1
-0.66532-0.65817-0.62672
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
62.8%
37.2%
-155
+148
-160
+150
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
4
8
-0.91925-0.93156-0.99004
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.