MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
46.6%
53.4%
+152
-162
+158
-168
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-122
-1½+105
0
21
-0.49579-0.48138-0.62792
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
47.1%
52.9%
+122
-122
+125
-130
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+155
0
13
-0.59866-0.58016-0.63673
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
38.6%
61.4%
+175
-185
+175
-183
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+112
4
5
-0.44482-0.44619-0.48796
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
59.1%
40.9%
-165
+159
-165
+162
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-103
5
2
-0.48248-0.47810-0.52607
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
39.6%
60.4%
-138
+132
-136
+136
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
8
1
-0.55582-0.55118-0.92697
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
44.2%
55.8%
+118
-127
+125
-128
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
4
-0.59878-0.58315-0.58375
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
58.6%
41.4%
-147
+141
-150
+143
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-110
6
1
-0.52899-0.52227-0.53370
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
63.4%
36.6%
-122
+113
-120
+114
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+131
+1½-145
6
5
-0.61750-0.61880-0.45607
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
47.1%
52.9%
+165
-175
+168
-174
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+110
5
3
-0.98819-0.99396-0.75235
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
58.7%
41.3%
-112
+103
-108
+102
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+195
1
2
-0.72873-0.71728-0.88353
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
46.9%
53.1%
+161
-171
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
4
3
-0.97339-0.96964-0.75730
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
46.6%
53.4%
+151
-161
+160
-168
+1½-140
-1½+126
+1½-139
-1½+125
4
2
-0.93542-0.96693-0.76263
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
38.6%
61.4%
+129
-135
+132
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+143
0
3
-0.56539-0.55979-0.48737
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
38.1%
61.9%
+135
-138
+136
-144
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
3
-0.85977-0.87244-0.96538
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
42.1%
57.9%
+165
-173
+164
-172
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+115
1
4
-0.46718-0.46940-0.54692
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
48.9%
51.1%
+108
-118
+110
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+171
2
4
-0.63563-0.63113-0.67168
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.