MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
44.5%
55.5%
+127
-135
+128
-133
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+138
2
0
-0.83466-0.83354-0.80997
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
41.9%
58.1%
+187
-198
+189
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-102
8
9
-0.42161-0.41806-0.54278
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
47.6%
52.4%
-112
+103
-112
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
1
-0.65878-0.64942-0.74131
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
45.0%
55.0%
+100
-110
+100
-105
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+158
+1½-170
10
5
-0.71668-0.70528-0.79891
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
44.6%
55.4%
+102
-110
+108
-110
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+170
2
3
-0.66532-0.65120-0.59019
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
54.2%
45.8%
-117
+115
-120
+118
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
5
3
-0.62200-0.61031-0.61212
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
46.0%
54.0%
+148
-150
+144
-147
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
2
-0.91148-0.89695-0.77664
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels
44.4%
55.6%
+111
-121
+114
-121
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-177
-1½+170
2
6
-0.62358-0.61706-0.58699
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
47.6%
52.4%
+118
-125
+120
-126
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+146
0
4
-0.60195-0.59626-0.64708
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
33.0%
67.0%
+210
-225
+210
-220
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
11
2
-1.14618-1.14144-1.10715
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
53.8%
46.2%
+104
-114
+107
-112
+1½-180
-1½+165

3
0
-0.73560-0.73888-0.61971
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
49.1%
50.9%
+131
-139
+132
-140
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
4
5
-0.55638-0.55326-0.67438
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
39.4%
60.6%
+201
-215
+200
-212
+1½-105
-1½-112
+1½-105
-1½-110
13
2
-1.11660-1.11136-0.93039
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
54.5%
45.5%
-122
+112
-120
+112
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-146
1
3
-0.77245-0.76841-0.78810
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
53.7%
46.3%
+122
-130
+121
-128
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+150
6
4
-0.81306-0.80679-0.62120
Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles
61.6%
38.4%
-152
+145
-150
+145
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-117
0
2
-0.90736-0.90421-0.95597
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.