MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
45.3%
54.7%
+117
-126
+119
-125
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
2
-0.79290-0.79600-0.79149
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
33.0%
67.0%
+232
-253
+230
-254
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-142
3
4
-0.35083-0.35230-0.40018
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
63.7%
36.3%
-222
+205
-220
+205
-1½-145
+1½+128
-1½-143
+1½+130
3
4
-1.13230-1.13038-1.01231
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
51.1%
48.9%
-107
-103
-105
-101
-1½+155
+1½-170

7
8
-0.70249-0.70275-0.71541
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
46.0%
54.0%
+143
-151
+146
-148
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+145
7
2
-0.90093-0.90342-0.77720
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
46.9%
53.1%
+124
-133
+123
-128
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.57778-0.58709-0.63346
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
47.1%
52.9%
-115
+117
-126
+120
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
2
-0.62142-0.59626-0.75368
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
41.7%
58.3%
+114
-120
+119
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
0
-0.77347-0.79600-0.87349
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
61.9%
38.1%
-197
+185
-200
+189
-1½-131
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
7
2
-0.42460-0.41806-0.47889
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
-101
-107
+104
-109
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+184
7
8
-0.67911-0.66266-0.61133
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
35.7%
64.3%
+173
-183
+180
-185
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
6
7
-0.44882-0.43838-0.44226
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
-116
+108
-113
+108
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-148
7
1
-0.63934-0.64512-0.55837
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
36.6%
63.4%
+205
-218
+210
-220
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-100
-1½-105
6
4
-1.12846-1.14144-1.00504
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
33.6%
66.4%
+237
-265
+240
-260
+1½+117
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-135
2
0
-1.23743-1.23998-1.09181
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
29.2%
70.8%
+287
-325
+295
-315
+1½+146
-1½-160
+1½+155
-1½-162
6
8
-0.29110-0.28783-0.34583
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
39.3%
60.7%
+185
-200
+190
-205
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+110
5
6
-0.42286-0.41412-0.49990
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.