MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
45.9%
54.1%
+113
-121
+115
-121
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-175
-1½+165
6
8
-0.61923-0.61493-0.61423
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
44.2%
55.8%
+140
-145
+138
-148
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+145
8
4
-0.88394-0.88390-0.81635
San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays
42.3%
57.7%
+123
-129
+125
-130
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
0
4
-0.58559-0.58016-0.54979
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
40.4%
59.6%
+187
-200
+191
-205
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
6
5
-1.06930-1.08382-0.90654
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
55.0%
45.0%
-141
+132
-140
+133
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
7
2
-0.55199-0.55144-0.59789
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
37.3%
62.7%
+138
-146
+140
-147
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-155
-1½+155
10
1
-0.88068-0.88719-0.98561
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
44.3%
55.7%
+121
-130
+125
-127
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
4
-0.58810-0.58467-0.58496
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
49.2%
50.8%
-126
+120
-120
+122
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
2
1
-0.59626-0.60203-0.70873
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
47.9%
52.1%
+116
-122
+118
-125
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
1
-0.78255-0.79350-0.73664
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
56.3%
43.7%
-119
+113
-120
+116
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
3
6
-0.76891-0.77849-0.82837
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
56.5%
43.5%
-133
+124
-132
+124
-1½+124
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
5
2
-0.57778-0.57921-0.57174
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
45.0%
55.0%
+132
-133
+127
-134
+1½-167
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
11
1
-0.84344-0.83287-0.79906
New York Mets
Kansas City Royals
50.6%
49.4%
+102
-108
+101
-107

-1½+160
+1½-170
2
3
-0.66959-0.67421-0.70607
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
43.5%
56.5%
+140
-150
+140
-150
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+137
4
5
-0.52736-0.52736-0.57043
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
42.3%
57.7%
+147
-153
+150
-156
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+125
2
1
-0.91377-0.92563-0.86149
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
57.7%
42.3%
-134
+128
-132
+128
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
6
5
-0.56867-0.57146-0.55059
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.