MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
53.9%
46.1%
-128
+118
-122
+121
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
0
2
-0.79924-0.79502-0.77531
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
65.9%
34.1%
-181
+166
-177
+172
-1½-117
+1½+110
-1½-117
+1½+110
5
4
-0.45972-0.45448-0.41638
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
41.6%
58.4%
+174
-189
+176
-185
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
1
-1.02672-1.02661-0.87743
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
33.2%
66.8%
+233
-260
+225
-247
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+105
-1½-121
6
7
-0.34770-0.35925-0.40326
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
51.5%
48.5%
+113
-123
+114
-122
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
5
6
-0.61582-0.61535-0.72404
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
56.4%
43.6%
-169
+157
-160
+165
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½+105
4
3
-0.48203-0.47823-0.57254
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
58.2%
41.8%
-163
+150
-160
+151
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-109
+1½+100
1
2
-0.93586-0.93397-0.87120
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
56.8%
43.2%
-131
+121
-129
+126
-1½+119
+1½-135
-1½+128
+1½-135
6
0
-0.58663-0.57969-0.56577
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
67.9%
32.1%
-215
+210
-214
+210
-1½-157
+1½+140
-1½-140
+1½+140
6
3
-0.38705-0.38752-0.38713
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.9%
47.1%
-163
+151
-164
+155
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-110
4
3
-0.49643-0.48937-0.63679
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
41.0%
59.0%
+154
-167
+154
-163
+1½-136
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+117
6
4
-0.95117-0.94554-0.89057
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
49.4%
50.6%
-124
+114
-116
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
7
6
-0.61201-0.62385-0.70479
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
56.2%
43.8%
-138
+128
-133
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+123
+1½-130
4
0
-0.56328-0.56627-0.57700
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
45.5%
54.5%
+143
-153
+145
-151
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+124
6
10
-0.51909-0.51788-0.60702
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
34.2%
65.8%
+239
-268
+240
-250
+1½+130
-1½-146
+1½+130
-1½-133
2
12
-0.34008-0.34485-0.41925
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
44.2%
55.8%
+102
-112
+110
-112
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+181
5
7
-0.66116-0.64257-0.58259
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.