MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
52.4%
47.6%
-114
+105
-111
+106
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-150
3
2
-0.65009-0.65377-0.64533
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
48.9%
51.1%
+128
-138
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
8
7
-0.84244-0.84390-0.71584
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.9%
44.1%
-164
+151
-159
+151
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+102
+1½-110
7
11
-0.93971-0.93250-0.81792
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
47.0%
53.0%
-110
+100
-104
-102
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+190
10
7
-0.67015-0.68838-0.75509
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
45.2%
54.8%
-110
+100
-108
+102
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+192
5
1
-0.67015-0.66959-0.79303
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
55.2%
44.8%
-101
-103
+102
+100
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+147
+1½-145
1
13
-0.68830-0.68818-0.80211
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
55.8%
44.2%
-138
+135
-136
+136
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-130
5
3
-0.55036-0.55118-0.58338
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
37.5%
62.5%
+146
-154
+147
-155
+1½-155
-1½+141
+1½-160
-1½+141
1
4
-0.51309-0.51046-0.46984
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.7%
51.3%
-113
+103
-110
+103
-1½+145
+1½-160

5
2
-0.65676-0.66291-0.71998
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
36.2%
63.8%
+176
-192
+177
-185
+1½-115
-1½+101
+1½-115
-1½+107
2
7
-0.43892-0.44222-0.44899
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
40.4%
59.6%
+147
-157
+146
-151
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+112
9
6
-0.91985-0.90822-0.90518
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
50.6%
49.4%
-102
-107
+100
-103
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+185
3
2
-0.70492-0.70051-0.68197
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
50.2%
49.8%
-101
-109
+100
-105
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+164
+1½-170
3
4
-0.67472-0.68116-0.69810
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
46.5%
53.5%
+101
-111
+109
-110
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+168
1
3
-0.66563-0.64890-0.62461
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+145
-155
+145
-153
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-144
-1½+135
7
4
-0.91198-0.90892-0.84462
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
60.9%
39.1%
-205
+195
-195
+190
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-132
+1½+130
6
10
-1.09285-1.07055-0.93877
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.