MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.5%
68.5%
+228
-255
+245
-252
+1½+120
-1½-137
+1½+125
-1½-135
3
4
-0.35378-0.33996-0.37816
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
30.6%
69.4%
+219
-244
+220
-240
+1½+120
-1½-136
+1½+125
-1½-128
0
3
-0.36600-0.36652-0.36586
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
48.1%
51.9%
+117
-126
+117
-125
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-167
-1½+155
4
2
-0.79290-0.79098-0.73195
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
+132
-135
+137
-138
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-148
-1½+135
4
8
-0.55979-0.54678-0.55612
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
35.6%
64.4%
+227
-246
+221
-235
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
1
7
-0.35776-0.36749-0.43948
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
36.5%
63.5%
+193
-205
+185
-202
+1½-106
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
4
3
-1.08833-1.06688-1.00901
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.9%
63.1%
+225
-235
+215
-237
+1½+110
-1½-119
+1½+120
-1½-120
2
3
-0.36369-0.37254-0.46096
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
50.9%
49.1%
-108
+103
-107
+103
-1½+140
+1½-159
-1½+149
+1½-155
1
4
-0.71980-0.71752-0.71035
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
37.6%
62.4%
+180
-191
+177
-190
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-104
-1½-110
4
9
-0.43445-0.43891-0.47180
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
40.5%
59.5%
+201
-222
+203
-210
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
4
0
-1.12338-1.11599-0.90300
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
43.0%
57.0%
+164
-178
+165
-175
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-125
-1½+110
3
12
-0.46474-0.46561-0.56194
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
42.6%
57.4%
+166
-181
+173
-179
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
4
1
-0.99821-1.01214-0.85426
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
51.6%
48.4%
-115
+105
-108
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
7
5
-0.64814-0.66240-0.66085
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians
51.1%
48.9%
+111
-120
+112
-118
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
1
9
-0.62534-0.62672-0.71484
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
31.9%
68.1%
+260
-292
+260
-292
+1½+135
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-150
0
6
-0.31693-0.31693-0.38433
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
36.8%
63.2%
+162
-174
+168
-179
+1½-130
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
5
-0.47064-0.45842-0.45819
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.