MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
58.5%
41.5%
-182
+167
-175
+167
-1½-125
+1½+106
-1½-123
+1½+105
9
6
-0.45763-0.46283-0.53676
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
+128
-138
+126
-134
+1½-150
-1½+141
+1½-145
-1½+142
2
0
-0.84244-0.83037-0.85741
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
43.4%
56.6%
+165
-175
+165
-175
+1½-139
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+135
0
3
-0.46561-0.46561-0.56939
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+334
-377
+342
-360
+1½+160
-1½-180
+1½+170
-1½-178
3
5
-0.25582-0.25394-0.46490
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
30.5%
69.5%
+275
-310
+270
-295
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-145
2
6
-0.30209-0.30886-0.36354
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
44.2%
55.8%
+134
-144
+140
-143
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+135
2
1
-0.86750-0.88059-0.81674
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
44.5%
55.5%
+148
-158
+152
-157
+1½-125
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+115
4
7
-0.50587-0.50053-0.58947
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
37.6%
62.4%
+223
-249
+233
-256
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
3
2
-1.19528-1.22217-0.97835
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
40.4%
59.6%
+143
-153
+141
-150
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+127
2
5
-0.51909-0.52565-0.51809
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+228
-255
+213
-230
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
0
4
-0.35378-0.37734-0.57353
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
37.1%
62.9%
+178
-194
+185
-190
+1½+100
-1½-114
+1½+105
-1½-110
3
11
-0.43512-0.42889-0.46286
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
41.3%
58.7%
+168
-183
+175
-180
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+119
9
6
-1.00540-1.01807-0.88375
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
43.9%
56.1%
+143
-153
+150
-152
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
1
-0.90402-0.91945-0.82394
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.3%
38.7%
-230
+216
-220
+205
-1½-143
+1½+125
-1½-143
+1½+130
12
3
-0.37436-0.38995-0.48944
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
47.0%
53.0%
+103
-113
+105
-111
+1½-190
-1½+166

3
5
-0.65676-0.65610-0.63475
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
35.2%
64.8%
+210
-233
+215
-234
+1½+113
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-122
3
12
-0.37914-0.37372-0.43328
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.