MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.3%
41.7%
-127
+125
-129
+125
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
0
7
-0.81484-0.81867-0.87407
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
32.0%
68.0%
+250
-280
+250
-265
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-125
0
3
-0.32768-0.33183-0.38627
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
48.0%
52.0%
-151
+141
-147
+142
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-125
4
0
-0.52457-0.52728-0.73337
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
49.0%
51.0%
+107
-117
+115
-117
+1½-165
-1½+151
+1½-167
-1½+155
13
1
-0.74957-0.76975-0.71345
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
43.2%
56.8%
+141
-151
+140
-150
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-136
-1½+120
2
6
-0.52457-0.52736-0.56565
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
66.3%
33.7%
-195
+181
-190
+181
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
12
0
-0.43072-0.43383-0.41158
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
56.2%
43.8%
-119
+109
-118
+110
-1½+136
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
0
5
-0.75877-0.75927-0.82499
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
44.1%
55.9%
+135
-145
+133
-142
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
11
-0.54173-0.54894-0.58148
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.0%
49.0%
-130
+120
-126
+125
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+139
+1½-150
7
4
-0.59012-0.58621-0.67327
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
59.9%
40.1%
-174
+160
-170
+160
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-116
+1½+110
0
5
-0.97498-0.96964-0.91277
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
53.6%
46.4%
-125
+115
-122
+118
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
0
14
-0.78592-0.78755-0.76735
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
42.5%
57.5%
+115
-125
+118
-126
+1½-179
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+159
6
3
-0.78592-0.79542-0.85654
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
47.1%
52.9%
+141
-149
+142
-150
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+166
3
1
-0.89287-0.89690-0.75302
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
53.7%
46.3%
-128
+118
-126
+123
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-140
8
0
-0.59724-0.59019-0.62194
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
38.7%
61.3%
+190
-202
+195
-205
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
7
8
-0.41577-0.40836-0.48972
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
55.4%
44.6%
-173
+159
-170
+165
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+107
2
3
-0.97128-0.98152-0.80840
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.