MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
37.6%
62.4%
+168
-183
+170
-179
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+116
9
4
-1.00540-1.00512-0.97936
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
54.8%
45.2%
-126
+116
-123
+117
-1½+127
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-138
6
15
-0.79039-0.78704-0.79308
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
40.9%
59.1%
+157
-160
+152
-159
+1½-119
-1½+110
+1½-122
-1½+105
2
6
-0.48999-0.49860-0.52563
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
45.5%
54.5%
+142
-150
+144
-145
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
7
15
-0.52396-0.52619-0.60642
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
41.1%
58.9%
+195
-206
+190
-205
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
4
7
-0.40782-0.41412-0.52914
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.4%
59.6%
+140
-146
+145
-149
+1½-165
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
3
-0.53184-0.52003-0.51694
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
39.6%
60.4%
+185
-197
+181
-190
+1½-105
-1½-107
+1½-105
-1½-105
5
4
-1.06140-1.04418-0.92591
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
42.5%
57.5%
+159
-173
+161
-170
+1½-115
-1½+104
+1½-112
-1½+100
0
8
-0.47578-0.47531-0.55359
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
42.5%
57.5%
+149
-155
+146
-155
+1½-138
-1½+124
+1½-135
-1½+122
2
3
-0.50725-0.51208-0.55389
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
33.9%
66.1%
+260
-287
+275
-300
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-150
13
3
-1.30012-1.33827-1.08052
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
41.3%
58.7%
+115
-124
+120
-127
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+155
6
7
-0.60989-0.59470-0.53256
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
40.4%
59.6%
+216
-240
+215
-231
+1½-105
-1½-111
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
2
-0.37040-0.37493-0.51767
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
59.3%
40.7%
-133
+123
-131
+128
-1½+115
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-125
5
4
-0.57975-0.57290-0.52310
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
41.6%
58.4%
+149
-160
+150
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
3
-0.92912-0.92410-0.87611
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
35.7%
64.3%
+205
-220
+200
-206
+1½+109
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
6
7
-0.38995-0.40223-0.44138
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
37.6%
62.4%
+205
-225
+206
-220
+1½+106
-1½-120
+1½+112
-1½-120
3
9
-0.38769-0.38889-0.47193
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.