MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
46.1%
53.9%
+153
-161
+150
-157
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-144
-1½+140
6
2
-0.94025-0.92712-0.77329
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
51.3%
48.7%
-103
-103
-102
-107
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+153
+1½-160
1
4
-0.69315-0.68152-0.71943
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
43.8%
56.2%
+129
-138
+131
-138
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+138
7
2
-0.84492-0.84989-0.82567
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
44.7%
55.3%
+115
-125
+120
-126
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+147
2
8
-0.60825-0.59626-0.59173
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
36.7%
63.3%
+168
-183
+168
-180
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
5
-0.45555-0.45770-0.45672
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
40.2%
59.8%
+145
-155
+146
-150
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+136
6
4
-0.91198-0.90666-0.91023
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
61.7%
38.3%
-164
+155
-165
+155
-1½-114
+1½+108
-1½-115
+1½+105
1
2
-0.94936-0.95078-0.96095
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
57.7%
42.3%
-147
+137
-148
+140
-1½+100
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-113
2
9
-0.87984-0.88882-0.86057
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
45.7%
54.3%
+127
-136
+132
-136
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-148
-1½+135
4
0
-0.83644-0.84884-0.78287
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
55.0%
45.0%
-122
+116
-124
+116
-1½+146
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
5
1
-0.61109-0.60776-0.59862
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
48.7%
51.3%
+110
-118
+105
-112
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+184
4
2
-0.75927-0.73382-0.71906
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
37.1%
62.9%
+233
-245
+228
-250
+1½+122
-1½-135
+1½+130
-1½-135
2
5
-0.35268-0.35546-0.46432
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
28.1%
71.9%
+234
-258
+240
-259
+1½+115
-1½-114
+1½+120
-1½-128
10
1
-1.22584-1.23922-1.26894
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
47.0%
53.0%
+110
-120
+111
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+172
5
6
-0.62755-0.62891-0.63507
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
47.2%
52.8%
+105
-111
+109
-110
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-170
-1½+162
2
4
-0.65610-0.64890-0.63843
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+183
-197
+185
-200
+1½-111
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
2
3
-0.42705-0.42286-0.46475
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.